Darius Baruo
Aug 17, 2025 16:48
Toncoin shows bullish momentum above key EMAs with $3.70 price target achievable as TON breaks diagonal resistance. Technical analysis supports medium-term forecast range of $3.70-$4.00.
TON Price Prediction: Targeting $3.70 Breakthrough as Technical Setup Points to 15% Upside
Toncoin has emerged from its broader downtrend with renewed bullish momentum, positioning TON for a potential breakout toward the $3.70 resistance level. With the current price at $3.50, this TON price prediction examines the technical factors supporting a medium-term rally and identifies key levels that could validate or invalidate the bullish thesis.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $3.70 (+5.7% from current levels)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.70-$4.00 range (+5.7% to +14.3%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.75 (strong resistance zone)
• Critical support if bearish: $3.14 (immediate support level)
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The analyst community shows notable convergence on near-term TON price targets, with multiple sources identifying $3.70 as the immediate objective. CoinEdition and Ainvest both project this level based on TON’s successful break above diagonal trendline resistance and reclaiming of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $3.44.
However, this Toncoin forecast contrasts sharply with CoinCodex’s bearish projection of $2.61, representing a -23% decline. This divergence highlights the critical nature of current technical levels, where TON either confirms its bullish breakout or risks a significant retracement.
Long-term predictions show greater optimism, with DigitalCoinPrice targeting $7.25 and Cryptopolitan forecasting a range between $2.02 and $6.35. These extended forecasts suggest substantial upside potential if TON can establish itself above current resistance zones.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Continuation
The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals several encouraging signals supporting the upside TON price prediction. TON trades above all key exponential moving averages, with the EMA 12 at $3.43 and EMA 26 at $3.36 providing dynamic support. This EMA alignment typically indicates strengthening bullish momentum.
The RSI reading of 58.18 positions TON in neutral territory with room for further upside before reaching overbought conditions. While the MACD histogram shows a slight bearish divergence at -0.0041, this minor weakness appears to be consolidation rather than reversal, particularly given TON’s position within the upper portion of the Bollinger Bands.
Volume analysis from Binance spot data shows $11.05 million in 24-hour trading activity, sufficient to support the current price action but requiring expansion to confirm any breakout above $3.75. The daily ATR of $0.19 suggests moderate volatility, creating manageable risk-reward scenarios for position sizing.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The primary TON price target of $3.70 aligns with the confluence of technical resistance and Fibonacci levels. A successful break above this zone opens the path toward $4.00, representing the next significant resistance area. This bullish scenario requires TON to maintain support above the $3.48 pivot point while demonstrating increased buying volume.
The Bollinger Band position at 0.69 indicates TON has room to reach the upper band at $3.62 before encountering band resistance. A squeeze and subsequent expansion could propel TON toward the $4.00-$4.25 zone, validating the most optimistic near-term forecasts.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
The bearish scenario activates if TON fails to hold the $3.48 pivot point, potentially triggering a decline toward the immediate support at $3.14. This level coincides with the middle Bollinger Band and represents a critical defense zone for bulls.
A break below $3.14 would target the strong support at $2.72, aligning with CoinCodex’s pessimistic $2.61 projection. This downside scenario would invalidate the current bullish structure and potentially establish a new downtrend phase.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a buy or sell TON decision hinges on the $3.55 resistance level. Conservative buyers should wait for a confirmed break above $3.70 with increased volume before establishing positions, targeting the $4.00 level with a stop-loss below $3.40.
Aggressive traders might consider accumulating TON near the $3.48 pivot point, implementing a tight stop-loss below $3.35 to limit downside risk. This approach offers a favorable risk-reward ratio targeting the $3.70 resistance level.
Position sizing should account for the $0.19 daily ATR, suggesting 2-3% portfolio allocation for moderate risk tolerance. The proximity to both support and resistance levels requires disciplined stop-loss management to preserve capital during potential false breakouts.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
This comprehensive Toncoin forecast supports a medium confidence bullish outlook with a primary TON price target of $3.70 achievable within the next 2-4 weeks. The technical structure shows TON has successfully established higher lows since July while breaking key trendline resistance, supporting the analyst consensus around the $3.70 level.
Key indicators to monitor include volume expansion above $15 million daily on Binance, RSI momentum above 60, and most critically, a decisive break above the $3.75 strong resistance zone. Failure to maintain support above $3.40 would invalidate this bullish TON price prediction and potentially trigger the bearish scenario targeting $2.70-$2.90.
The timeline for this prediction extends through September 2025, with intermediate confirmation expected by late August if TON can establish itself above $3.70 resistance.
Image source: Shutterstock
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