Growth & Total Return Weekly Chat


This is the forum for Growth & Total Return discussion on Seeking Alpha. A new chat begins every two weeks, and all previous blogs are listed in chronological succession on the main chat page. We won’t be doing any comment cleanup in the new chat, and users will always be able to refer back to previous discussions.

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In this article, I will go over the company’s business model, the recent merger and full-year financials, as well as potential risks and catalysts moving forward. Finally, I will compare Realty Income from a valuation perspective to some of its closest peers to assess whether or not this is a compelling investment at current prices. As of the end of FY24 Realty Income’s occupancy rate was 98.7% with a weighted average lease term of 9.3 years. These leases are often structured to include contractual rent escalations that are either fixed or tied to inflation indices such as the CPI, which also reduces inflation risk.

Ero Copper is more of a copper than a gold company, as its revenue for the full year 2024 was 72.5% dependent on copper sales and 27.5% dependent on gold sales, based on sales volumes and metal prices. The company produces its metals from the following facilities: Ero Copper’s principal asset is a 99.6% interest in the Caraíba copper mine, located 385 km northwest of Salvador, Brazil. This copper complex is 100% owned and operated by Mineração Caraíba S.A. (or “MCSA”). Ero Copper also holds a 99.6% interest in the Tucumã mine (Boa Esperança), a copper mine located 308 km southwest of Marabá, Brazil. This copper complex is 100% owned and operated by MCSA.

As April comes to a close, Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) appears to have hit bottom with multiple signs the AI boom remains intact. The AI GPU company has signaled demand remains strong, while a large inventory charge was probably unnecessary. My investment thesis remains Bullish on the stock, with the false narrative on slowing AI demand likely to fade.

The company’s FY2025 results not only show spectacular top-line expansion, with ending annual recurring revenue reaching $4.24 billion (up 23% YoY), but also a more mature model with a focus on operational leverage and recurring free cash flow [FCF]. However, under the shining headlines and broadening addressable market, there is a more subtle dynamic: while CrowdStrike’s platform take rate and revenue quality enhance, investors must also consider monetization effectiveness, margin scalability, and customer risks.

Nvidia has risen into prominence most notably over the past three years, where its dominance in hardware along with its CUDA software ecosystem has emerged as the most viable option to build machine learning models. Recently, Nvidia is faced with future uncertainties and political headwinds amidst U.S. tariff restrictions imposed by President Trump. Lately, Nvidia has warned of a potential 5.5 billion earnings hit from new US export restriction on the sales of its chips to China. Long-term risks and disruptions among this complex supply chain of chipmaking and its critical infrastructures across borders are also key elements that will impact Nvidia’s profitability and growth in the long run.

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